Sumgayit vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
50
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 2
SUM
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 4
SFK
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 3
SEB
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
SUM
34%
29%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SUM
2 - 3
FKQ
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2023 |
SFK
0 - 0
ZIR
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 1
FCK
72%
19%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 3
ZIR
23%
29%
48%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ZIR
1 - 3
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
QAR
2 - 2
ZIR
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |