Sumgayit vs Zira FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
7º
10º
8º
50
4º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 0
SUM
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 0
FCK
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
SUM
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUM
1 - 1
SHA
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Zira FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
1 - 0
ZIR
50%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ZIR
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 7
QAR
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SEB
1 - 2
ZIR
21%
27%
53%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |