Sumgayit vs Simurq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
42.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SUM
0 - 0
FKB
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
3 - 2
SUM
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
FKB
26%
28%
46%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
SUM
0 - 0
SHA
28%
29%
44%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 2
KHA
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Simurq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
SIM
6 - 0
REV
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SIM
2 - 3
QAR
39%
30%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FKQ
2 - 3
SIM
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 0
FKN
35%
29%
35%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
KHA
2 - 1
SIM
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |