Sumgayit vs FK Sabail analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
3º
8º
8º
4
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 69 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 60 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 57 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 54 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 53 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 52 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 47 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 44 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 39 |
9º
|
33.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 25 |
10º
|
82.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
8.5% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 84% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 0
SUM
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FHV
0 - 0
SUM
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 2
FHV
33%
26%
41%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
ADA
2 - 2
SUM
81%
12%
7%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Sabail
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SEB
1 - 1
FKN
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZIR
4 - 1
SEB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 3
FKN
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |