Sumgayit vs Sabah analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
32.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
3º
9º
7º
31
3º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 74 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 65 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 58 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 43 |
6º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 35 |
9º
|
34% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 30 |
10º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SEB
0 - 1
SUM
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 4
TUR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 1
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SUM
0 - 2
ZIR
47%
28%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sabah
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFK
0 - 0
FKN
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ZIR
1 - 1
SFK
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SFK
1 - 1
ARA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
QAR
3 - 2
SFK
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 4
SFK
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |