Sumgayit vs Ravan Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
QAR
1 - 0
SUM
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SHA
2 - 2
SUM
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SUM
2 - 3
FCK
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
AZA
1 - 0
SUM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SUM
1 - 1
FKQ
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
REV
0 - 4
SHA
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FCK
3 - 2
REV
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
REV
1 - 0
AZA
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
FKQ
2 - 0
REV
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
REV
0 - 4
ZIR
30%
30%
40%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | -1 |