Sumgayit vs Ravan Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
FCK
1 - 0
SUM
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KHA
0 - 0
SUM
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SUM
0 - 2
AZA
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
REV
3 - 0
SUM
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SUM
1 - 0
FCK
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ravan Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
REV
1 - 0
TUR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
AZA
3 - 2
REV
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
REV
3 - 0
FCK
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
REV
3 - 0
SUM
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 6
REV
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |