Sumgayit vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
52%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
FKN
0 - 2
SUM
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
SUM
0 - 2
SHK
21%
23%
57%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2020 |
SUM
0 - 1
SHA
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FKQ
5 - 0
SUM
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
QAR
1 - 2
FKN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
QAR
0 - 0
MFK
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SHA
0 - 0
QAR
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
QAR
2 - 1
SHF
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
QAR
2 - 0
SFK
78%
17%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |