Sumgayit vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
26.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
SUM
1 - 1
SHA
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SUM
2 - 1
SHA
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
SHA
1 - 0
SUM
42%
25%
33%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FKN
2 - 2
SUM
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
FKQ
1 - 1
SUM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FCK
0 - 1
QAR
31%
29%
41%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
QAR
1 - 0
SEB
73%
20%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -5 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
QAR
1 - 1
SHA
42%
29%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +5 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FKN
0 - 0
QAR
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
QAR
2 - 0
ZIR
42%
29%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |