Sumgayit vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 1
SUM
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
SUM
0 - 0
AZA
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2015 |
FKB
0 - 0
SUM
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 4
QAR
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
QAR
1 - 0
KHA
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
QAR
3 - 0
FKB
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
QAR
0 - 1
FKQ
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
FKN
0 - 1
QAR
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |