Sumgayit vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
50.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
KHA
4 - 1
SUM
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 0
SUM
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
FKB
22%
27%
50%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
FKN
1 - 3
SUM
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SUM
1 - 1
SIM
24%
28%
48%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2014 |
QAR
4 - 1
SHA
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
FKB
0 - 0
QAR
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
SIM
1 - 0
QAR
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
QAR
5 - 1
REV
62%
23%
15%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |