Sumgayit vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
SFK
2 - 0
SUM
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 1
SEB
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCK
1 - 1
SUM
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
TUR
1 - 4
SUM
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
ARA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SFK
32%
27%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SEB
2 - 3
FKQ
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 1
FCK
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FKQ
0 - 2
ZIR
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |