Sumgayit vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
7º
4º
26
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SFK
26%
27%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SFK
3 - 1
SUM
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
FCK
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
QAR
5 - 0
SUM
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SUM
0 - 0
TUR
39%
27%
35%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 4
ARA
39%
27%
33%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 1
SEB
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FCK
0 - 1
FKQ
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 2
QAR
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 2
FKQ
33%
26%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |