Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Sumgayit vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FKN
0 - 2
SUM
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FKN
0 - 0
SUM
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
FKQ
0 - 4
SUM
17%
20%
63%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SUM
1 - 0
SEB
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ZIR
3 - 1
SUM
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
FKN
0 - 2
SUM
66%
20%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
FKN
0 - 0
SUM
66%
20%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SFK
1 - 2
FKN
19%
29%
52%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SEB
0 - 2
FKN
25%
30%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FKN
2 - 2
ZIR
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |