Sumgayit vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SUM
1 - 0
TUR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2011 |
FKB
1 - 0
SUM
70%
19%
10%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SUM
4 - 1
FCK
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FKQ
3 - 1
SUM
71%
20%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
QAR
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
FKN
2 - 0
FCK
66%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
SHA
2 - 1
FKN
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
FKN
7 - 1
AZA
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
FKN
4 - 2
SIM
67%
22%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
SIM
0 - 1
FKN
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |