Sumgayit vs FK Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
KHA
3 - 2
SUM
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
SUM
1 - 2
QAR
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FKQ
2 - 0
SUM
57%
23%
19%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SUM
0 - 1
FKN
29%
28%
43%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
SIM
1 - 1
SUM
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FK Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 1
QAR
32%
28%
41%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
FKN
2 - 0
FKB
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
0 - 3
SIM
35%
29%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
FKB
1 - 4
QAR
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 0
FKB
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |