Sumgayit vs AZAL PFC Baku analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
49.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sumgayit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
REV
3 - 2
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 0
AZA
21%
27%
52%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
TUR
1 - 1
SUM
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
SIM
2 - 1
SUM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SUM
2 - 0
FCK
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
AZAL PFC Baku
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 0
TUR
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SUM
1 - 0
AZA
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
0 - 0
SIM
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FCK
0 - 2
AZA
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AZA
1 - 1
REV
55%
26%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |