Switzerland U20 vs Italy U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
47.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ITA
4 - 1
SUI
54%
22%
24%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
SUI
2 - 2
POL
35%
24%
42%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
SUI
0 - 2
ITA
39%
23%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
POL
2 - 1
SUI
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
SUI
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
6 - 1
POL
43%
23%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
POL
1 - 3
ITA
48%
23%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
SVN
2 - 0
ITA
11%
17%
71%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 1
ITA
20%
21%
59%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 2
GER
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |