Switzerland U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
57.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Switzerland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1999 |
SUI
1 - 0
WAL
56%
22%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
SUI
2 - 0
DEN
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUI
80%
14%
5%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
SUI
1 - 1
GER
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1997 |
GER
2 - 2
SUI
84%
12%
5%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
ITA
6 - 2
WAL
82%
14%
5%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
ITA
4 - 1
BLR
76%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 2
ITA
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1998 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
ITA
1 - 0
SUI
80%
14%
5%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |