Sweden U19s vs Italy U19s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
69.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
2 - 1
SWE
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 3
CZE
18%
23%
60%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HRV
1 - 1
SWE
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
PRT
1 - 0
SWE
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
0 - 1
CHE
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
ITA
7 - 0
LIE
84%
11%
5%
|
66 | 15 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
PRT
0 - 1
ITA
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 3
ITA
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
ITA
1 - 1
POL
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |