UEFA EC U21 Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Sweden U21 vs URSS U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.8%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
SWE
4 - 0
CSK
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
CSK
1 - 2
SWE
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1989 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
SWE
1 - 0
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
SWE
1 - 0
ENG
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
URSS U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
GER
1 - 2
SUN
78%
16%
7%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
28%
30%
42%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1989 |
SUN
2 - 0
TUR
38%
25%
38%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 1989 |
DDR
3 - 2
SUN
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1989 |
AUT
0 - 2
SUN
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |