Sweden U21 vs Portugal U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
CHN
0 - 1
SWE
26%
23%
51%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
BRA
2 - 0
SWE
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
1 - 1
SYM
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
33%
25%
42%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2004 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
56%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
GER
1 - 2
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
SUI
2 - 2
POR
29%
24%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
SWE
3 - 1
POR
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |