Sweden U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 2
NOR
55%
23%
23%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
CUB
1 - 3
SWE
6%
14%
81%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 2
SUI
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 0
SWE
40%
26%
35%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
SWE
60%
22%
17%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
POL
3 - 1
TUR
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 2
POL
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
MLT
76%
16%
9%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
POL
4 - 1
LVA
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
POL
3 - 0
LTU
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |