Sweden U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2020 |
ISL
1 - 0
SWE
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
IRL
4 - 1
SWE
16%
21%
63%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LUX
0 - 3
SWE
5%
13%
82%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SWE
5 - 0
ISL
73%
17%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SWE
1 - 3
IRL
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 1
SVN
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
6 - 0
ARM
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
ITA
3 - 0
ISL
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 1
ITA
6%
13%
81%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
IRL
0 - 0
ITA
13%
20%
67%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |