Sweden U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
SUI
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
MLT
2 - 1
SWE
15%
21%
64%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
SWE
2 - 4
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 5
SRB
66%
19%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
SRB
0 - 3
SWE
32%
25%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 4
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ISR
3 - 2
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
WAL
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |