Sweden U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GEO
0 - 0
SWE
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 0
MDA
86%
11%
4%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 1
MKD
77%
15%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
GIB
0 - 5
SWE
6%
13%
80%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 0
COL
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ROU
1 - 0
FIN
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FIN
4 - 1
ALB
38%
24%
39%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 2
SUI
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 3
ISL
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
SVN
1 - 0
FIN
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |