Sweden U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
SWE
4 - 0
MLT
83%
13%
4%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
UKR
6 - 0
SWE
35%
27%
39%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RUS
4 - 1
SWE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
MLT
0 - 1
SWE
12%
21%
68%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
20%
25%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 2
UKR
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
SVN
1 - 1
FIN
51%
23%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
AZE
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
UKR
1 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2011 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
20%
25%
55%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |