U21 EC Qualifying Relegation Final
Global 3-1
Sweden U21 vs Spain U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 2
LVA
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
POL
1 - 1
SWE
52%
23%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
0 - 3
SMR
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 28 | 41 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 1
POL
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
SMR
1 - 5
SWE
9%
17%
74%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
ARM
0 - 2
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 0
UKR
79%
14%
7%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2003 |
NIR
1 - 4
ESP
9%
21%
70%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 0
GRC
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2003 |
ESP
1 - 0
AUS
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |