Sweden U17 vs Wales U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 3
ALB
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
SWE
1 - 0
SCO
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
POR
4 - 2
SWE
73%
18%
9%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
LVA
0 - 0
SWE
17%
21%
62%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Wales U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 0
CRO
15%
23%
62%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
WAL
2 - 4
SRB
21%
22%
57%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 2
WAL
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SVN
5 - 0
WAL
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
KAZ
1 - 1
WAL
20%
20%
60%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |