Sweden U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
19%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FIN
0 - 5
SWE
26%
24%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SWE
0 - 1
NED
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 0
FRA
16%
22%
62%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
DEN
1 - 0
SWE
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ENG
1 - 2
SWE
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GEO
0 - 1
BGR
51%
24%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
BGR
0 - 3
SVK
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GER
1 - 1
BGR
82%
13%
6%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
NED
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
8%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |