Süderelbe vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
52.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
79
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
WIL
64%
17%
19%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 5
SUD
27%
21%
51%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
OSD
68%
16%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 3
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 3
CUR
67%
16%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
RUG
3 - 1
SAS
11%
16%
74%
|
42 | 21 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 1
VHG
73%
15%
13%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
0 - 1
SAS
17%
19%
63%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
EIM
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
DAS
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |