Süderelbe vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
11.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
14º
9º
30
12º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
SUD
31%
22%
47%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 1
HEB
51%
20%
28%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +3 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
VHG
6 - 5
SUD
39%
21%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
EIM
2 - 3
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
SUD
32%
21%
47%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
RUG
0 - 2
WIL
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 0
RUG
46%
23%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
RUG
2 - 4
ATB
89%
8%
3%
|
26 | 11 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 0
RUG
84%
10%
6%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
RUG
1 - 1
EIM
18%
19%
63%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |