Süderelbe vs Rugenbergen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 1
SUD
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
SUD
1 - 1
CUR
65%
18%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALT
1 - 0
SUD
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
SUD
3 - 1
BUX
83%
11%
6%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
SUD
41%
23%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Rugenbergen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
4 - 2
RUG
58%
22%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
RUG
0 - 2
PIN
61%
21%
18%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
RUG
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -3 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
RUG
3 - 0
MEI
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RUG
3 - 2
NIE
60%
21%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |