Süderelbe vs FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+115%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
41
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
HAM
1 - 5
SUD
27%
21%
51%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
OSD
68%
16%
16%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
0 - 3
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 3
CUR
67%
16%
16%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
THA
3 - 0
SUD
51%
22%
28%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Türkiye Wilhelmsburg Aca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 0
RUG
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
VHG
3 - 5
WIL
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
WIL
55%
21%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
EIM
2 - 1
WIL
85%
10%
5%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
DAS
7 - 1
WIL
86%
10%
5%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |