Süderelbe vs Alsterbruder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.49
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.6%
7.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
14º
9º
34
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
78%
14%
9%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
8 - 0
UTO
83%
10%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
WAN
1 - 2
SUD
34%
22%
44%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SUD
3 - 3
BUC
81%
12%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 1
SUD
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Alsterbruder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
3 - 1
HAL
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
HEB
3 - 1
ATB
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
7 - 2
VHG
9%
13%
79%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +4 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ALT
3 - 0
ATB
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 38 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ATB
1 - 3
ETH
46%
21%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |