Süderelbe vs Düneberger SV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
3.1%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.7%
6.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
7º
14º
9º
17
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
2 - 4
RUG
74%
14%
11%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 0
SUD
31%
22%
47%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
SUD
6 - 1
HEB
51%
20%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
VHG
6 - 5
SUD
39%
21%
40%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2023 |
EIM
2 - 3
SUD
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Düneberger SV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 1
HAL
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
HEB
8 - 2
DNB
80%
12%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
VHG
17%
17%
67%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALT
4 - 0
DNB
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DNB
7 - 0
KOS
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |