Süderelbe vs Curslack-Neuengamme analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
16.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
6º
17º
7º
23
1º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
3º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 70 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 69 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
54 | 57 |
7º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
78% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
78% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 46 |
11º
|
90% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
84.5% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
92.5% | |
|
14º
|
39 | 39 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
78.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
90% | |
|
|
19º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
54.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
19º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Süderelbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
THA
3 - 0
SUD
51%
22%
28%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
SUD
4 - 1
HEB
52%
20%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
6 - 1
UTO
74%
15%
12%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 2
VHG
23%
20%
58%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
WAN
2 - 0
SUD
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Curslack-Neuengamme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
1 - 3
RUG
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
VHG
5 - 0
CUR
80%
12%
8%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CUR
0 - 3
WAN
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
EIM
7 - 1
CUR
84%
11%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DAS
4 - 0
CUR
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |