Sudáfrica U21 vs Finland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudáfrica U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
BLR
1 - 1
RSA
78%
16%
7%
|
22 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
RUS
0 - 2
RSA
92%
6%
2%
|
21 | 69 | 48 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 0
KAZ
15%
19%
66%
|
19 | 47 | 28 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TJK
1 - 3
RSA
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2002 |
GER
1 - 1
RSA
89%
9%
2%
|
17 | 75 | 58 | 0 |
Matches
Finland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2015 |
KGZ
0 - 1
FIN
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2015 |
BLR
1 - 0
FIN
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
FIN
1 - 1
TUK
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 11 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
EST
1 - 2
FIN
27%
26%
47%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
FIN
5 - 0
SMR
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 19 | 36 | 0 |