South Africa U20 vs Nigeria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NIG
1 - 1
RSA
25%
24%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
MWI
0 - 2
RSA
10%
19%
71%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
MWI
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
RSA
3 - 0
MOZ
66%
19%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
MOZ
1 - 1
RSA
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 0
BDI
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
NGA
5 - 0
MTN
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
MTN
1 - 1
NGA
11%
21%
69%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
NGA
1 - 0
GNB
87%
10%
3%
|
60 | 19 | 41 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GNB
2 - 2
NGA
7%
18%
75%
|
60 | 18 | 42 | 0 |