Sud FC vs Villefranche SJB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
51.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+575%
+139%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
10º
14º
14º
19
7º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 56 |
1º
|
88% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 44 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 43 |
3º
|
17% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 40 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 36 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 34 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 24 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 20 |
14º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 54% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
99% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
SFC
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
LUC
17%
19%
65%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 2
SFC
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
SFC
78%
13%
9%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
AGD
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | +5 |
Matches
Villefranche SJB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 0
MON
17%
21%
62%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIL
81%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
ESF
31%
22%
47%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SCR
0 - 0
VIL
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 0
VIL
61%
19%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |