Sud América vs Villa Teresa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LFC
1 - 0
SUD
59%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
3 - 3
REN
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DAN
1 - 1
SUD
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 4
PEÑ
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAC
2 - 0
SUD
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Teresa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
FEN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
VIL
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
ETS
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CER
3 - 1
VIL
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
JUV
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |