Sud América vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
REN
4 - 0
SUD
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SUD
0 - 0
REN
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CSC
0 - 1
SUD
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
SUD
2 - 2
REN
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 0
SUD
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
UMO
1 - 1
ROC
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 1
UMO
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
ROC
2 - 2
HBU
48%
23%
29%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
BAS
0 - 1
ROC
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2019 |
ROC
4 - 3
PLA
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |