Sud América vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
2 - 0
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 0
DEF
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
ETS
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CER
2 - 0
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
PAL
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 3
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
UCH
0 - 0
RIV
43%
24%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 1
RIV
30%
25%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 0
UCH
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |