Sud América vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BOS
1 - 1
SUD
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
0 - 0
SUD
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 2
HFC
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
SUD
3 - 0
ATE
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 0
SUD
56%
23%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 4
ATE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
VIL
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
2 - 1
PRO
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
PRO
1 - 0
CSM
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
ROC
3 - 5
PRO
30%
25%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |