Sud América vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
0 - 1
ATE
43%
28%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
JUN
1 - 1
SUD
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUD
1 - 1
ORI
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 2
SUD
5%
11%
84%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CSC
2 - 1
SUD
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
RIV
0 - 3
PEÑ
37%
27%
37%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 3
PEÑ
32%
27%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |