Sud América vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ETS
1 - 1
SUD
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
SUD
1 - 0
RAC
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LFC
2 - 0
SUD
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SUD
2 - 4
CER
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 0
SUD
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
CSM
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
PEÑ
15%
21%
64%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
ETS
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
23%
56%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DAN
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |