Sud América vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
49.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
SUD
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SUD
2 - 1
JUN
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
4 - 2
SUD
58%
25%
18%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SUD
0 - 2
JUV
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 0
SUD
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
ALB
2 - 3
LUZ
37%
25%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CER
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ATE
1 - 2
LUZ
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
UMO
1 - 2
LUZ
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LUZ
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |