Sud América vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
45.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
11º
11º
31
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 48 |
1º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 48 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 47 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 41 |
4º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 36 |
5º
|
31.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 35 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 33 |
7º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 32 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 31 |
11º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 25 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 24 |
14º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
11% | 91% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
SUD
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SUD
2 - 1
ALB
28%
28%
45%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
COL
2 - 2
SUD
44%
27%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 0
LUZ
24%
27%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 0
SUD
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
JUV
2 - 1
LUZ
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 2
JUV
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
REN
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
JUV
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UMO
1 - 2
JUV
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |