Sud América vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 1
PLA
53%
26%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 0
SUD
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
SUD
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
SUD
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
SUD
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
TAC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 1
HFC
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
3 - 0
PRO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 2
CEN
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 2
DEP
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |