Sud América vs Colón FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
27.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
4º
12º
11º
26
5º
14º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 50 |
1º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 47 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 46 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 42 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
|
5º
|
26 | 37 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 34 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 32 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 31 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 28 |
11º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 24 |
14º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 50.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
98% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ATE
1 - 0
SUD
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
3 - 0
LUZ
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
UMO
0 - 0
SUD
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
SUD
1 - 1
REN
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CSC
0 - 0
SUD
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Colón FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
COL
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
UMO
27%
28%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
COL
53%
27%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
CSC
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |